Oscar Handicap 2013: Animated Feature

FilmJerk.com continues its annual Oscar Handicap with the newest category to the Academy Awards, Best Animated Feature.

(For explanations as to how our scoring system works, make sure to read our first article in the series, Best Picture of the Year, linked at the bottom of this article.)

While the Best Animated Feature award may be the newest award in Oscar’s long history, there have been number of trends already established over the past eleven years to help spot the leaders of the pack.

The Breakdowns

1) Computer animated films have won 9 of the 11 awards given since the Best Animated Feature category was introduced in 2001 (81.82%). Advantage: Brave, Wreck-It Ralph

2) Winners of the Annie Awards (the International Animated Film Society’s highest honor) have gone on to win the Oscar 8 of 11 times (72.73%). Advantage: Wreck-It Ralph

3) Films released before October 1st have won 8 of 11 (72.73%). Advantage: Brave, ParaNorman, The Pirates! Band of Misfits

4) The highest gross nominee has ended up winning 7 of 11 (63.64%). Advantage: Brave

5) The winner of the Producers Guild Award for Outstanding Producer of Animated Theatrical Motion Pictures has gone on to the win the Oscar 4 of 7 since the PGA began its own animated award (57.14%). Advantage: Wreck-It Ralph

6) Winners of the Motion Picture Sound Editors Golden Reel Award for Sound Effects, Foley, Dialogue and ADR in an Animated Feature film have won the Best Animated Feature Oscar 6 of 11 times (54.55%). Advantage: Wreck-It Ralph

7) Previous Oscar nominees, be it in this category or any other Oscar category, have won here 6 of 11 times. Advantage: Brave (Mark Andrews), Frankenweenie (Tim Burton), The Pirates! Band of Misfits (Peter Lord).

By The Numbers

It should come as little shock that Disney has three nominees amongst the five. And while the Pixar title has an ever-so-slight advantage, it wouldn’t be too shocking if its sibling wrecked Emeryville’s seventh chance to bring home the gold.

Brave (Mark Andrews and Brenda Chapman): +1, -2, +3, +4, -5, -6, +7 (41 of 73, 56.16%)

Frankenweenie (Tim Burton): -1, -2, -3, -4, -5, -6, +7 (26 of 73, 35.62%)

ParaNorman (Sam Fell and Chris Butler): -1, -2, +3, -4, -5, -6, -7 (30 of 73, 41.10%)

The Pirates! Band of Misfits (Peter Lord): -1, -2, +3, -4, -5, -6, +7 (31 of 73, 42.47%)

Wreck-It Ralph (Rich Moore): +1, +2, -3, -4, +5, +6, -7 (40 of 73, 54.79%)

All articles in this series:

Best Picture of the Year
Best Director
Best Actor and Best Actress
Best Supporting Actor and Best Supporting Actress
Best Cinematography
Best Original Screenplay and Best Adapted Screenplay
Best Foreign Language Film
Best Animated Feature