Oscar Handicap 2007: Animated Features

FilmJerk.com begins its annual Oscar Handicap with the newest category to the Academy Awards, Best Animated Feature.

(For explanations as to how our scoring system works, make sure to read our first article in the series, Best Picture of the Year, linked at the bottom of this article.)

As the Best Animated Feature was only created for the 2002 Awards, there are but five years of data to shift through, although one factor seems to loom quite large…

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FilmJerk Handicaps The Oscars: 2006 Edition

Can the outcome of the Oscars be predicted by looking at a statistical breakdown of certain factors relating to the major categories? Is playing a real person truly the short cut to Oscar glory? How important is it to have the most nominations? Are films released before September really ignored?

Can one win an Oscar, even though they appear in the lowest-grossing film nominated in that category? We took a look at the ten major categories over the past 27 ceremonies (for the films of 1978 through 2004), as well as select statistical data from all 77 previous ceremonies, and found some surprising mathematical data which may give some pause about who might win on March 5.

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