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||| Andrei Tarkovsky |||
Andrei Tarkovsky

Tarkovsky's contemplative, metaphysical films, more experienced than watched, are perhaps best described in the director's own words: sculptures in time.

In the post-apocalypse, a writer and scientist hire a "stalker" to guide them into The Zone, a mysterious and restricted wasteland with fabled, alien properties. Their journey, captured by Tarkovsky as a succession of incredible images, has, since, been read as political commentary, religious allegory, and Chernobyl prophesized.

Tarkovsky's visionary biography of the 15th-century icon painter is one of cinema's most majestic and solemn experiences. In some way, it will change you.

An adaptation of Stanis?aw Lem's novel of the same name, Tarkovsky's genre-less sci-fi film, which is set mostly aboard a space station hovering off a strange planet, tangles with issues of identity, death and reality in a way that will leave you agape, in the full meaning.

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Oscar Handicap 2014: Supporting Actor and Actress

By EdwardHavens

March 1st, 2014

In this article, we will examine recent voting patterns for the two Supporting Acting categories.

Oscar Handicap 2014: Supporting Actor and Actress

(For explanations as to how our scoring system works, make sure to read our first article in the series, Best Picture of the Year, linked at the bottom of this article.)

Best Supporting Actor

The Breakdowns
1) As long as you're not the youngest nominee, you've won 30 of the past 35 times (85.71%). Advantage: Cooper, Fassbender, Hill, Leto
2) Playing a fictional character has helped the winner 30 of 35 (85.71%). Advantage: Cooper, Hill, Leto
3) Xenophobia is alive and well in this category, as actors playing American characters have won 26 of 35 (74.29%). Advantage: Cooper, Fassbender, Hill, Leto
4) Winners in this category have represent films without a Best Actor nominee 24 of 35 (68.57%). Advantage: Abdi
5) Actors from movies with original screenplays have won 24 of 35 (68.57%). Advantage: Cooper, Leto
6) The winner of the Golden Globe in this category has gone on to win the Oscar 22 of 35 (62.86%). Advantage: Leto
7) SAG winners for Best Supporting Actor went on to win the Oscar 11 times of the 19 years the former awards have been handed out (57.89%). Advantage: Leto
8) Previous Oscar nominees have gone on to win this award 18 of 35 (51.43%). Advantage: Cooper, Hill

By The Numbers
Jared Leto has won the lion's share of awards for this category, and we see no reason why he shouldn't win here too.
Barkhad Abdi, "Captain Phillips": -1, -2, -3, +4, -5, -6, -7, -8 (92 of 264, 34.85%)
Bradley Cooper, "American Hustle": +1, +2, +3, -4, +5, -6, -7, +8 (160 of 264, 60.61%)
Michael Fassbender, "12 Years a Slave": +1, -2, +3, -4, -5, -6, -7, -8 (121 of 264, 45.83%)
Jonah Hill, "The Wolf of Wall Street": +1, +2, +3, -4, -5, -6, -7, -8 (147 of 264, 55.68%)
Jared Leto, "Dallas Buyers Club": +1, +2, +3, -4, +5, +6, +7, +8 (171 of 264, 64.77%)


Best Supporting Actress The Breakdowns
1) As long as you're not the nominee from the lowest grossing film, you've won 33 of 35 (94.29%). Advantage: Hawkins, Lawrence, Nyong'o, Roberts
2) As long as you're not the youngest nominee, you've won 30 of 35 (85.71%). Advantage: Hawkins, Nyong'o, Roberts, Squibb
3) Actresses who played fictional characters have won here 27 of 35 (76.47%). Advantage: Adams, Hathaway, Hunt, Weaver
4) Winners were come from a film without a nominee for Best Actress 26 of 35 (74.29%). Advantage: Nyong'o, Squibb
5) First-time Oscar nominees have won in this category 25 of 35 (71.43%). Advantage: Hawkins, Nyong'o, Squibb
6) The Best Supporting Actress winner has been honored for their performance in a Best Picture nominee 23 of 35 (65.71%). Advantage: Lawrence, Nyong'o, Squibb
7) SAG winners for Best Supporting Actress went on to win the Oscar 12 times of the 19 years the former awards have been handed out (63.16%). Advantage: Nyong'o
8) The winner of the Golden Globe in this category has gone on to win the Oscar 19 of 35 (54.29%). Advantage: Lawrence
9) Playing a character from an adapted screenplay has helped the winner 18 of 35 (51.43%). Advantage: Nyong'o, Roberts

By The Numbers
Nyong'o has made an incredible leap from production assistant on "The Constant Gardner" to acclaimed actress, and should be able to be billed as "Academy Award winner" after Sunday.
Sally Hawkins, "Blue Jasmine": +1, +2, +3, -4, +5, -6, -7, -8, +9 (176 of 299, 58.86%)
Jennifer Lawrence, "American Hustle": +1, -2, +3, -4, -5, +6, -7, +8, +9 (150 of 299, 50.17%)
Lupita Nyong'o, "12 Years a Slave": +1, +2, -3, +4, +5, +6, +7, -8, -9 (191 of 299, 63.88%)
Julia Roberts, "August: Osage County": -1, +2, +3, -4, -5, -6, -7, -8, -9 (162 of 299, 54.18%)
June Squibb, "Nebraska": -1, +2, +3, +4, +5, +6, -7, -8, +9 (173 of 299, 57.86%)


All articles in this series:
Best Picture of the Year
Best Director
Best Actor and Best Actress
Best Supporting Actor and Best Supporting Actress
Best Cinematography
Best Original Screenplay and Best Adapted Screenplay
Best Foreign Language Film
Best Animated Feature