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||| Federico Fellini |||
Federico Fellini

Fellini transfigured joy into style and shaped fanciful hallucinations into some of the liveliest and fantastic films ever made.

No life is complete without a glance into one of cinema's most resplendent films-about-films, an awesome exhibit of Fellini's fantasies, dreams, fears, and neuroses that, ironically, masquerades as the story of a filmmaker in an artistic slump.

Guilietta Masina, one of world cinema's treasures, plays a young woman sold into the service of an oafish strongman, in this early Fellini that oscillates between magic realism and the lingering legacies of neorealism. By turns enchanting and melancholy, and always warm, the film will, ultimately, just break your heart.

Fellini transforms the tale of a lovable prostitute desperately searching for true love on the streets of Rome into a masterful celebration of humanity and affecting ode to unbroken character.

Recommended by PaczeMoj

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Oscar Handicap 2007: Supporting Actor and Actress

By EdwardHavens

February 21st, 2007

In this article, we will examine recent voting patterns for the two Supporting Acting categories

Oscar Handicap 2007: Supporting Actor and Actress

(For explanations as to how our scoring system works, make sure to read our first article in the series, Best Picture of the Year, linked at the bottom of this article.)


Best Supporting Actor
I have to admit that I have been a fan of Eddie Murphy's practically since his first appearance on Saturday Night Live, and have stuck with him through his bad streak in the 1990s and reemergence as a top draw today. So it kinda bothers when I read some people say that Eddie might not win because of his personal life or because of his playing, amongst other characters, an obese woman in a movie released after his stunning work in "Dreamgirls." I know it's an idealistic opinion, but whatever Murphy did before "Dreamgirls" or after shouldn't matter here. He was great in the film and deserves to win in my opinion. But does history show there might be legitimate factors to keep him from getting his just reward?

The Breakdowns
1) Winners in this category have been first time Oscar winners 25 of the last 28 times (89.29%). Advantage: All (and thus this stat will not be used this year)
2) As long as you're not the youngest nominee, you've won 25 of 28 times (89.29%). Advantage: Arkin, Haley, Hounsou, Murphy
3) Playing a fictional character has helped the winner 23 of 28 times (82.14%). Advantage: All (and thus this category will not be used this year)
4) As long as you're not the nominee in the lowest grossing film in this category, you've won 22 of 28 times (78.57%). Advantage: Arkin, Hounsou, Murphy, Wahlberg
5) As long as you're not the oldest nominee, you've won 21 of 28 times (75%). Advantage: Haley, Hounsou, Murphy, Walhberg
6) Xenophobia is alive and well in this category, as actors playing American characters have won 21 of 28 (75%). Advantage: Arkin, Haley, Murphy, Walhberg
7) Best Supporting Actor winners have come from original screenplays 19 of 28 (67.86%). Advantage: Arkin, Hounsou
8) The winner of the Golden Globe in this category has gone on to win the Oscar 17 of 28 (60.71%). Advantage: Murphy
9) Winners in this category have represent films without a Best Actor nominee 16 of 28 times (%). Advantage: Arkin, Haley, Murphy, Walhberg
10) The SAG Award winner in this category has gone on to win the Oscar in the same category 6 of 12 times (50%). Advantage: Murphy (sort of)
11) The Best Supporting Actor has appeared in a film released before October 1st 14 of 28 times (50%). Advantage: Arkin (sort of)

By The Numbers
It looks like Eddie Murphy will become the first Saturday Night Live performer to win an Oscar
Alan Arkin, Little Miss Sunshine: +2, +4, -5, +6, +7, -8, +9, -10 (127 of 202, 62.87%)
Jackie Earle Haley, Little Children: +2, -4, +5, +6, -7, -8, +9, -10 (115 of 202, 56.93%)
Djimon Hounsou, Blood Diamond: +2, +4, +5, -6, +7, -8, -9, -10 (127 of 202, 62.87%)
Eddie Murphy, Dreamgirls: +2, +4, +5, +6, -7, +8, +9, +10 (133 of 202, 65.84%)
Mark Wahlberg, The Departed: -2, +4, +5, +6, -7, -8, +9, -10 (109 of 202, 53.96%)


Best Supporting Actress
Jennifer Hudson has been appointed the front runner in this category since before the voting season began, racking up a number of critics awards as well as the Golden Globe and SAG Award. But will these accolades really help her to win here...

The Breakdowns
1) As long as you're not the nominee in the lowest grossing film, you've won 27 of the last 28 times (96.43%). Advantage: Barraza, Breslin, Hudson, Kikuchi
2) As long as you're not the youngest nominee, you've won 24 of 28 (85.71%). Advantage: Barraza, Blanchett, Hudson, Kikuchi
3) First-time nominees in this category have won 24 of 28 times (85.71%). Advantage: Barraza, Breslin, Hudson, Kikuchi
4) Playing a fictional character has helped the winner 21 of 28 times (75%). Advantage: All (and thus, this stat will not be used this year)
5) Winners in this category have represent films without a Best Actress nominee 20 of 28 times (71.43%). Advantage: Barraza, Breslin, Hudson, Kikuchi
6) Xenophobia is alive and well in this category, as actresses playing American characters have won 20 of 28 (71.43%). Advantage: Breslin, Hudson
7) As long as you're not the nominee in the highest grossing film in this category, you've won 19 of 28 times (67.86%). Advantage: Barraza, Blanchett, Breslin, Kikuchi
8) The Best Supporting Actress winner has been honored for their performance in a Best Picture nominee 17 of 28 times (60.71%). Advantage: Barraza, Breslin, Kikuchi
9) The SAG Award winner in this category has gone on to win the Oscar in the same category 7 of 12 times (58.33%). Advantage: Hudson
10) Golden Globe winners in this category have gone on to win here 14 of 28 (50%). Advantage: Hudson (sort of)

By The Numbers
Both ladies from Babel have very slight statistical edges over the one-time American Idol hopeful turned Oscar front runner
Adriana Barraza, Babel: +1, +2, +3, +5, -6, +7, +8, -9 (144 of 208, 69.23%)
Cate Blanchett, Notes on a Scandal: -1, +2, -3, -5, -6, +7, -8, -9 (80 of 208, 38.46%)
Abigail Breslin, Little Miss Sunshine: +1, -2, +3, +5, +6, +7, +8, -9 (136 of 208, 65.38%)
Jennifer Hudson, Dreamgirls: +1, +2, +3, +5, +6, -7, -8, +9 (142 of 208, 68.27%)
Rinko Kikuchi, Babel: +1, +2, +3, +5, -6, +7, +8, -9 (144 of 208, 69.23%)


Find out who wins this year's Oscars, when the Academy Awards for outstanding film achievements of 2006 are presented on Sunday, February 25, at the Kodak Theatre in Hollywood, televised live on ABC beginning at 5 PM PST/8 PM EST. A one-hour red carpet arrivals show will precede the telecast at 4 PM PST/7 PM EST.


Addition articles in this series:
Best Picture of the Year
Best Director
Best Actor and Best Actress
Best Cinematography
Best Score, Best Editing and Best Art Direction
Best Original Screenplay and Best Adapted Screenplay
Best Foreign Language Film
Best Animated Feature