Oscar Handicap 2018: Best Makeup and Hairstyling

The annual FilmJerk.com Oscar Handicap series continues with a favorite  category we used to track for a while and are starting to track again, Best Makeup and Hairstyling.

Once upon a time, the Academy of Motion Pictures Arts and Sciences did not have a competitive category for practical effects like hair and makeup. Make-up effects for creatures like Frankenstein’s Monster and the Creature from the Black Lagoon were admired by film fans, and fan magazines were created to highlight the works of makeup artists like Bud Westmore and Jack Pierce and Dick Smith, but it would not be until the early 1980s, after a loud outcry when Christopher Tucker’s astounding work on “The Elephant Man” would not be recognized in any way, that the Academy would finally bestow awards for these artists’ works. Legends like Smith, Rick Baker, Ve Neill, Stan Winston and Chris Walas were rightfully honored for work as varied as aging F. Murray Abraham in Amadeus and the Brundlefly in The Fly. But as practical makeup effects gave way to CG effects, the category saw a dwindling number of eligible titles each year until hairstyling was officially added to the category in 2012.

But enough of the history lesson, let’s get on to the numbers…

The Breakdowns

1) If at least one member of your team is getting their first nomination in this category, you’ve won here 30 of the 35 times this has been a competitive category since 1981 (85.7%). Advantage: all films nominated
2) If you were also nominated this year for the Hollywood Makeup Artist and Hair Stylist Guild Awards, you’ve won here 7 of the 9 times these newer awards have been given (77.8%). Advantage: Wonder
3) As long as your film was not the lowest grosser of the nominees at the time of the nominees’ announcement, you’ve won here 27 of 35 (77.1%). Advantage: Darkest Hour, Wonder
4) As long as the film you’re nominated for is not predominantly set in the modern era, you’ve won here 25 of 35 (71.4%). Advantage: Darkest Hour, Victoria and Abdul
5) If your work was also nominated for a BAFTA Award in the same category, you’ve won here 24 of the 34 years the British Academy has also given the same award (70.6%). Advantage: all films nominated
6) If your film is also not nominated for Best Picture, you’ve won here 24 of 35 (68.6%). Advantage: Victoria and Abdul, Wonder
7) If there are no acting nominations for your film, you’ve won here 23 of 35 (65.7%). Advantage: Victoria and Abdul, Wonder
8) Xenophobia is somewhat alive and well in this film. American-based productions have won this award 22 of 35 (62.9%). Advantage: Wonder
9) If your film is also nominated for Best Costume Design, you’ve won here 17 of 35 (48.6%). “Advantage”: Darkest Hour, Victoria and Abdul

By the Numbers

Darkest Hour (Kazuhiro Tsuji, David Malinowski and Lucy Sibbick): +1, -2, +3, +4, +5, -6, -7, -8, +9 (161 of 288, 55.90%)
Victoria and Abdul (Daniel Phillips and Lou Sheppard): +1, -2, -3, +4, +5, +6, +7, -8, +9 (166 of 288, 57.64%)
Wonder (Arjen Tuiten): +1, +2, +3, -4, +5, +6, +7, +8, -9 (185 of 288, 64.24%)

Thank you for taking the time to check us out.

All articles in this series:

Best Picture of the Year
Best Director
Best Actor and Best Actress
Best Supporting Actor and Best Supporting Actress
Best Cinematography
Best Original Screenplay and Best Adapted Screenplay
Best Foreign Language Film
Best Animated Feature
Best Production Design
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Best Editing
Best Costume Design
Best Score
Best Sound Effects and Best Sound Mixing
Best Documentary Feature
Best Visual Effects