Oscar Handicap 2010: Animated Features

FilmJerk.com begins its annual Oscar Handicap with the newest category to the Academy Awards, Best Animated Feature.

(For explanations as to how our scoring system works, make sure to read our first article in the series, Best Picture of the Year, linked at the bottom of this article.)

With only eight years of awards being handed out, there is not a great amount of statistical data to break down, but what data there is appears to point to a possible upset.

The Breakdowns

1) The nominee with at least three major pre-award wins between BAFTA, Broadcast Film Critics, LA Film Critics, National Board of Review and the New York Film Critics Circle, have won 7 of the 8 awards (87.50%). Advantage: Fantastic Mr. Fox

2) Winners of the Annie Awards (the International Animated Film Society’s highest honor) have gone on to win the Oscar 6 of 8 times (75%) since the Best Animated Feature category was introduced at the Academy Awards in 2001. Advantage: Up

3) Computer animated films have won 6 of 8 (75%). Advantage: Up

4) Since the Producers Guild introduced a Best Animated Film category in 2005, three of the four winners (75%) have gone on to win the Oscar. Advantage: Fantastic Mr. Fox

5) Films released before October 1st have won 5 of 8 (62.50%). Advantage: Coraline, Up

6) The film with the highest gross has won 5 of 8 (62.50%). Advantage: Up

7) Winners in this category were also nominated in at least one other category 5 of 8 (62.50%). Advantage: Up

8) Those who have previously won an Oscar, be it in this category or in the Animated Short Subject category, have gone on to win 3 of 8 (37.50%). Disadvantage: Up

By The Numbers

Up should make it three in a row for the team from Emeryville, but don’t be too surprised if that crafty Mr. Fox swipes the award.

Coraline (Henry Selick): -1, -2, -3, -4, +5, -6, -7, +8

Fantastic Mr. Fox (Wes Anderson): +1, -2, -3, +4, -5, -6, -7, +8

The Princess and the Frog (John Musker and Ron Clements): -1, -2, -3, -4, -5, -6, -7, -8

The Secret of Kells (Tomm Moore): -1, -2, -3, -4, -5, -6, -7, -8

Up (Pete Docter): -1, +2, +3, -4, +5, +6, +7, -8

Prediction for Best Animated Feature: Up

Personal choice for this category: Up

All articles in this series:

Best Picture of the Year
Best Director
Best Actor and Best Actress
Best Supporting Actor and Best Supporting Actress
Best Cinematography
Best Original Screenplay and Best Adapted Screenplay
Best Foreign Language Film
Best Animated Feature
The Technical Categories