Oscar Handicap 2008: Animated Features

FilmJerk.com begins its annual Oscar Handicap with the newest category to the Academy Awards, Best Animated Feature

(For explanations as to how our scoring system works, make sure to read our first article in the series, Best Picture of the Year, linked at the bottom of this article.)

With only six years of awards being handed out, there is not a great amount of statistical data to break down, and what data there is appears to be spread out pretty evenly.

The Breakdowns

1) Winners of the Annie Awards (the International Animated Film Society’s highest honor) have gone on to win the Oscar 5 of 6 times (83.33%) since the Best Animated Feature category was introduced at the Academy Awards in 2001. Advantage: Ratatouille

2) The nominee with at least two major pre-award wins have won 4 of the 6 awards (66.67%). Advantage: Persepolis, Ratatouille

3) Computer animated films have won 4 of the 6 awards (66.67%). Advantage: All nominees

4) Films released before October 1st have won 3 of 6 (50%). “Advantage”: Ratatouille, Surf’s Up

5) The film with the highest gross has won 3 of 6 (50%). “Advantage”: Rataouille

By The Numbers

If you were reading this section last year, you would have seen that every Annie Award winner had gone on to win the Oscar. Someone forgot to tell AMPAS voters that, who proceeded to vote for Happy Feet instead of Annie winner Cars. This year, it appears Brad Bird will win his second Academy Award, but do not count Persepolis out just yet. The multi-languaged, non-CG picture has an ace up its sleeve in Kathleen Kennedy, the one-time Spielberg protegee heavily respected around town and who has herself been nominated five times for Best Picture.

Persepolis: -1, +2, +3, -4, -5 (15 of 30, 50%)

Ratatouille: +1, +2, +3, +4, +5 (19 of 30, 63.33%)

Surf’s Up: -1, -2, +3, +4, -5 (13 of 30, 43.33%)

Personal prediction for Best Animated Feature: Persepolis

All articles in this series:

Best Picture of the Year
Best Director
Best Actor and Best Actress
Best Supporting Actor and Best Supporting Actress
Best Cinematography
Best Score, Best Editing and Best Art Direction
Best Original Screenplay and Best Adapted Screenplay
Best Foreign Language Film
Best Animated Feature